The cone of uncertainty has shrunk significantly over the past two decades due to improvements in forecasting. Berardelli ...

The cone is designed to convey uncertainty in the forecast of the storm's center not necessarily the areas that will experience impacts, In the figure above, it is clear that over time forecasts ...

More To Know. The Cone Has Shrunk Significantly In Past 20+ Years: Compared to 2003, when the cone of uncertainty was first pushed out to five days, the radii that make up the cone are more than ...

The National Hurricane Center’s cone of uncertainty turns 20 this year, and the iconic map keeps getting smaller as forecasts get more accurate. But most storm risk is still outside the cone.

A dynamic cone of uncertainty that adjusts and morphs to encompass a wider range of possible solutions would be very useful. The realistic uncertainty in position at 72 hours, for example ...

The cone of uncertainty used by the National Hurricane Center has shrunk dramatically since 2003 as forecasting science improves. Every year, it’s recalculated based on tracking errors from the ...

The cone of uncertainty, the iconic image that fills TV screens and social media feeds when there's a hurricane coming, isn’t great at explaining what's to come.

NEW ORLEANS (WVUE) - The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is taking steps in 2024 to enhance public understanding of hurricane threats beyond the traditional “cone of uncertainty.” ...

What The 'Cone Of Uncertainty' Does And Doesn't Tell You About Threatening Tropical Storms And Hurricanes. weather.com meteorologists. Fri, May 30, 2025 at 9:00 PM UTC. 3 min read.