The government fiscal year closes at the end of September, but this analysis will look at the calendar year budget.

June 2025 fiscal flows signal short-term caution and likely SPX declines in July, but liquidity unlocks and Fed rate cuts ...

We present new evidence on the impact of fiscal variables on long-term interest rates and term premia in the United States. To alleviate endogeneity problems, we follow the seminal methodology by ...

Variation in PICU mortality by ethnicity and area-level deprivation highlights the importance of further investigation into ...