There’s a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one ...

14 charts show why a recession is imminent for the US economy despite strong labor-market data suggesting otherwise ...

Buried in a ledger from 1875 lies a chart that’s foreshadowed every major market collapse for over a century. It's pointing ...

This Chart Suggests A Recession Is Coming, But It's Not Aug. 09, 2024 10:26 AM ET S&P 500 Index (SP500), NDX, DJI SP500, NDX, DJI 26 Comments 10 Likes Lawrence Fuller Investing Group Leader ...

President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the ...

On a chart, the yield curve slopes upward from bottom left to top right when short-term interest rates are lower than long-term interest rates. That’s usually a sign of a healthy economy.

What Comes After a Recession in a Business Cycle?. The Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research maintains ongoing evaluation of the economic conditions in the United States.

If the labor market's rollover via the first chart above is an accurate signal that a recession tipping point has been reached, it will soon show up in CRPI and other indicators. We're not there yet.

Contractionary pressures remain and the delaying factors are dwindling. The downturn will be mild, as recessions go, but a recession nonetheless.

The few remaining signs that the US economy is headed for a recession are vanishing before our eyes. Until recently it has been possible to squint at the data and see emerging weakness amid the ...

One of the enduring puzzles of the current economic strength is how little impact the Fed’s rate hikes seemed to have caused — not generating the recession or crisis that every previous hiking ...

If Trump's tariffs send the US economy into recession, Wall Street strategists feel the stock market rout may not be over.