The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in its fourth meeting of 2025. The Fed aims to bring inflation down to 2%, ...

We present new evidence on the impact of fiscal variables on long-term interest rates and term premia in the United States. To alleviate endogeneity problems, we follow the seminal methodology by ...

The prospect of a recession has become much more likely in recent weeks, ratcheting up political pressure on President Donald Trump and Republicans. Most economic forecasters already expected the ...

Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan increased their predictions that the United States will be hit with a recession.

J.P.Morgan ratcheted up its odds for a U.S. and global recession to 60%, as brokerages scrambled to revise their forecast models with tariff distress threatening to sap business confidence and ...

The odds of the United States experiencing a recession in 2025 climbed to over 60% on the Kalshi prediction market amid fears of a prolonged trade war.

(Reuters) -Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a U.S. recession to 35% from 20% and said it expects more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as President Donald Trump's tariffs roil the global ...

Officials expect interest rates to tick up this year and they’ve lowered their expectations of GDP growth.

Interest rates tend to fall during recessions for fundamental reasons and as investors start to price in the likely policy response by the central bank.

Housing interest rates fell for the fifth consecutive time last week, dropping new mortgage payments to their lowest point in months.